AIAI vs the World Cup

World Cup 2026 · Round of 32 · 4 July 2026

Colombia vs Ghana: the AI predictions

Final score: Colombia 1–0 Ghana. Colombia advanced.

All 5 models picked Colombia. The result: Colombia 1–0 Ghana, with Colombia advancing.

Live pre-kickoff forecasts

Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.

ModelPickColombia winGhana winCalled it?
Claude (Anthropic)Colombia80%20%✓ yes
GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT)Colombia65%35%✓ yes
Gemini (Google)Colombia74%26%✓ yes
Grok (xAI)Colombia78%22%✓ yes
DeepSeek (DeepSeek)Colombia77%23%✓ yes

What the models were thinking

Claude: Colombia are ranked far higher (13th vs 74th), topped a tough group including Portugal, and boast in-form attackers Suárez and Díaz, while Ghana scraped through Group L in third with a shaky recent run of heavy losses. Ghana's competitiveness and knockout unpredictability keep some chance alive, but Colombia are clear favorites.

GPT: Colombia have the stronger baseline profile with a much higher FIFA ranking and topped Group K unbeaten, including a clean sheet against Portugal. Ghana were competitive in a tough group, drawing England and narrowly losing to Croatia, but their lower ranking and weaker recent pre-tournament form make them the underdog.

Gemini: Colombia topped their group undefeated and sits 61 places higher in the FIFA rankings than Ghana. Ghana suffered five consecutive defeats prior to the tournament and only advanced as a third-place team, making Colombia the clear favorites to progress.

Grok: Colombia’s 13th FIFA ranking, stronger squad depth, and key attackers in top form outweigh Ghana’s 74th ranking and weaker recent results; Colombia also topped Group K while Ghana finished third in Group L.

DeepSeek: Colombia is ranked 13th and unbeaten in their group with strong attacking form from Suárez and Díaz, while Ghana is 74th, lost their last five friendlies, and advanced as a third-place team with only one group win.

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