World Cup 2026 · Group L · 23 June 2026
England vs Ghana: the AI predictions
Final score: England 0–0 Ghana.
All 5 models picked England. The result: a 0–0 draw.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | England win | Draw | Ghana win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | England | 72% | 18% | 10% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | England | 69% | 20% | 11% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | England | 75% | 18% | 7% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | England | 82% | 13% | 5% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | England | 70% | 20% | 10% | ✗ no |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | England win | Draw | Ghana win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | England | 68% | 20% | 12% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | England | 64% | 23% | 13% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | England | 76% | 17% | 7% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | England | 81% | 14% | 5% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | England | 75% | 18% | 7% | ✗ no |
What the models were thinking
Claude: England are ranked 4th versus Ghana's 74th and possess far deeper, higher-quality squad, while Ghana have lost their last five matches against stronger opposition including Austria, Germany and Mexico. England's own recent dip and Ghana's attacking threat via Semenyo leave some room for a draw or upset.
GPT: England have a major ranking edge, stronger listed squad depth, and a recent run featuring several comfortable wins. Ghana topped their CAF qualifying group, but their last five listed matches are all losses against stronger opposition, which lowers their upset probability.
Gemini: England boasts a vastly superior FIFA ranking (4th) and a star-studded squad compared to Ghana (74th). Furthermore, Ghana enters the tournament in poor form, having lost their last five consecutive matches against international opposition.
Grok: England's 4th FIFA ranking and recent results against stronger sides contrast sharply with Ghana's 74th ranking and form_last10 of WDWWWLLLLL featuring multiple heavy defeats. Home advantage in a World Cup group match further tilts the outcome heavily toward England.
DeepSeek: England are ranked 4th and have strong recent form, while Ghana are ranked 74th and have lost their last five matches.