World Cup 2026 · Semi-finals · 14 July 2026
France vs Spain: the AI predictions
Kick-off: 14 July 2026, 19:00 UTC. Follow it with the models’ forecasts on the live predictions page.
All 5 models picked France.
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | France win | Spain win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | France | 52% | 48% |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | France | 53% | 47% |
| Gemini (Google) | France | 53% | 47% |
| Grok (xAI) | France | 53% | 47% |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | France | 52% | 48% |
Why they picked it
Claude: Both are elite sides ranked 1st and 2nd with deep, in-form attacking talent, making this a near coin-flip. France's slight edge in ranking, momentum from wins over Brazil and Colombia, and Mbappé's world-class form tip a very tight tie marginally their way.
GPT: This is extremely close between FIFA No. 1 and No. 2, but France have been slightly more dominant in this tournament with six straight wins, 16 goals scored and only 2 conceded. Spain’s defensive record is also excellent, so France’s edge is narrow rather than decisive.
Gemini: France enters the semi-finals with a flawless tournament record, having won all six of their matches while conceding just two goals. Spain has also been formidable, but France's slight edge in the FIFA rankings and perfect run make them marginal favorites.
Grok: France hold a marginally higher FIFA ranking (1877.32 vs 1876.40) and stronger form_last10 (LWWWWDWWWW vs DWWWWWD?WD) with more recent wins against top sides.
DeepSeek: France's perfect knockout record with zero goals conceded and the #1 FIFA ranking suggest a marginal advantage, but Spain's equally strong tournament run and elite squad make this a near coin flip.