World Cup 2026 · Group E · 20 June 2026
Germany vs Ivory Coast: the AI predictions
Final score: Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast.
All 5 models picked Germany. The result: Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast — a Germany win.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Germany win | Draw | Ivory Coast win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Germany | 55% | 25% | 20% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Germany | 52% | 25% | 23% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | Germany | 62% | 23% | 15% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | Germany | 62% | 25% | 13% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Germany | 60% | 25% | 15% | ✓ yes |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Germany win | Draw | Ivory Coast win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Germany | 60% | 23% | 17% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Germany | 57% | 24% | 19% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | Germany | 65% | 22% | 13% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | Germany | 62% | 27% | 11% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Germany | 70% | 20% | 10% | ✓ yes |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Germany are higher-ranked (10th vs 34th), on a seven-match winning run, and play with home/tournament pedigree. However, Ivory Coast's strong qualifying form and quality attackers like Diomande and Pépé make an upset or draw plausible.
GPT: Germany have the higher ranking, stronger recent winning run, and more established squad depth, with qualification form of 5 wins from 6 and 16 goals scored. Ivory Coast are dangerous given their unbeaten CAF qualifying record with 25 goals scored and none conceded, so the draw and away-win probabilities remain meaningful.
Gemini: Germany enters the match on a seven-game winning streak and boasts a superior FIFA ranking compared to Ivory Coast. While Ivory Coast had an impressive, undefeated qualifying campaign, Germany's high-scoring form and top-tier squad depth make them the clear favorites.
Grok: Germany (10th) outranks Ivory Coast (34th) and shows a five-match winning run in recent qualifiers, while hosting; Ivory Coast's strong qualifying record (0 goals conceded) is noted but against weaker opposition per the brief.
DeepSeek: Germany, ranked 10th and on a seven-match winning streak, has superior recent form and squad depth. Ivory Coast's 34th ranking and occasional defensive lapses make an upset unlikely.