World Cup 2026 · Group E · 14 June 2026
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador: the AI predictions
Final score: Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador.
3 of 5 models picked Draw; the exceptions: Claude (Ivory Coast), Grok (Ivory Coast). The result: Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador — a Ivory Coast win.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Ivory Coast win | Draw | Ecuador win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Ivory Coast | 35% | 34% | 31% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Draw | 32% | 35% | 33% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Draw | 30% | 40% | 30% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Ivory Coast | 42% | 35% | 23% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Draw | 32% | 40% | 28% | ✗ no |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Ivory Coast win | Draw | Ecuador win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Ivory Coast | 35% | 34% | 31% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Draw | 31% | 36% | 33% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Draw | 30% | 36% | 34% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Ivory Coast | 42% | 30% | 28% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Ivory Coast | 38% | 35% | 27% | ✓ yes |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Ivory Coast bring strong recent form and quality attacking talent across top European clubs, while Ecuador's defense is exceptional but their attack has been notably stagnant with many goalless draws. The close ranking and Ecuador's defensive solidity make a draw nearly as likely as either win.
GPT: Ecuador are higher ranked and extremely solid defensively, but their recent form is draw-heavy with 8 draws in the last 10 matches. Ivory Coast bring stronger recent winning momentum and attacking output, making this a very balanced matchup where a low-scoring draw is slightly most likely.
Gemini: Both teams boast outstanding defensive records from their respective qualifying campaigns, with Ivory Coast conceding zero goals in their CAF group and Ecuador allowing just five in CONMEBOL. Ecuador's remarkable streak of eight draws in their last ten matches against diverse global opponents strongly points toward a tightly contested stalemate.
Grok: Ivory Coast's recent form (7 wins in last 10) and home status outweigh Ecuador's higher ranking, as Ecuador recorded only 2 wins and 8 draws in their last 10 matches.
DeepSeek: Ecuador have drawn 8 of their last 10 matches, including against top teams like Argentina and Netherlands, while Ivory Coast won 7 of their last 10 but against generally weaker opponents, making a draw the most likely outcome on neutral ground.