AIAI vs the World Cup

World Cup 2026 · Group C · 24 June 2026

Morocco vs Haiti: the AI predictions

Final score: Morocco 4–2 Haiti.

All 5 models picked Morocco. The result: Morocco 4–2 Haiti — a Morocco win.

Committed pre-tournament forecasts

Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).

ModelPickMorocco winDrawHaiti winCalled it?
Claude (Anthropic)Morocco74%18%8%✓ yes
GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT)Morocco77%16%7%✓ yes
Gemini (Google)Morocco80%15%5%✓ yes
Grok (xAI)Morocco82%14%4%✓ yes
DeepSeek (DeepSeek)Morocco80%15%5%✓ yes

Live pre-kickoff forecasts

Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.

ModelPickMorocco winDrawHaiti winCalled it?
Claude (Anthropic)Morocco82%13%5%✓ yes
GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT)Morocco80%14%6%✓ yes
Gemini (Google)Morocco84%12%4%✓ yes
Grok (xAI)Morocco84%13%3%✓ yes
DeepSeek (DeepSeek)Morocco78%15%7%✓ yes

What the models were thinking

Claude: Morocco are 8th-ranked with a dominant unbeaten run and far deeper, higher-quality squad, while Haiti (83rd) showed inconsistent recent form including losses to Honduras and Tunisia. Haiti's qualifying resilience gives them a small upset chance, but Morocco are clear favorites.

GPT: Morocco are ranked 8th, have a very strong recent record (WDWWWDWDWW), and show substantial squad depth and attacking output compared with 83rd-ranked Haiti. Haiti’s qualification run was impressive, but their recent form is more mixed and they face a clear step up in opponent quality.

Gemini: Morocco enters this match as heavy favorites, boasting an unbeaten recent record and a top-10 FIFA ranking compared to Haiti's 83rd. While Haiti's qualification is a historic achievement, Morocco's superior squad depth and form make a comfortable victory highly probable.

Grok: Morocco (FIFA 8th, form_last10 mostly wins) vastly outranks Haiti (83rd, mixed form) and has superior squad depth and recent results against stronger opposition. Home advantage in a group already showing Morocco ahead of Haiti reinforces the heavy favoritism.

DeepSeek: Morocco's world No. 8 ranking, strong recent form (unbeaten in last 10) and the group context (finishing 2nd ahead of Haiti) make them clear favorites; Haiti's 83rd rank and mixed results suggest a slim chance of an upset.

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