World Cup 2026 · Group D · 20 June 2026
Türkiye vs Paraguay: the AI predictions
Final score: Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay.
All 5 models picked Türkiye. The result: Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay — a Paraguay win.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Türkiye win | Draw | Paraguay win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Türkiye | 45% | 28% | 27% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Türkiye | 44% | 29% | 27% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Türkiye | 52% | 28% | 20% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Türkiye | 58% | 28% | 14% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Türkiye | 58% | 24% | 18% | ✗ no |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Türkiye win | Draw | Paraguay win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Türkiye | 50% | 27% | 23% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Türkiye | 46% | 27% | 27% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Türkiye | 48% | 28% | 24% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Türkiye | 58% | 25% | 17% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Türkiye | 55% | 25% | 20% | ✗ no |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Türkiye are higher-ranked (22nd vs 40th), in strong recent form, and field standout attackers from Juventus, Inter, and Real Madrid. Paraguay are organized and competitive defensively, keeping this closer than a clear gap would suggest.
GPT: Türkiye have the stronger ranking, better recent 10-match record, and several productive attacking midfield/forward options listed, including Yıldız, Çalhanoğlu and Güler. Paraguay’s recent results show they are competitive and defensively capable, so the draw and away-win chances remain substantial.
Gemini: Türkiye enters the match with strong momentum, a higher FIFA ranking (22nd vs 40th), and key players like Çalhanoğlu and Güler performing well at top European clubs. While Paraguay is competitive and capable of grinding out results, their inconsistent recent form gives the edge to a resurgent Turkish side.
Grok: Türkiye (rank 22) hold a clear edge over Paraguay (rank 40) with superior recent form (7 wins in last 10 vs 4) and higher-impact key players; home status further tilts the match in their favor.
DeepSeek: Türkiye's higher FIFA ranking (22 vs 40), superior recent form (7W-1D-2L), and in-form stars like Yıldız and Güler give them a clear edge over an inconsistent Paraguay side.