World Cup 2026 · Group G · 15 June 2026
Belgium vs Egypt: the AI predictions
Final score: Belgium 1–1 Egypt.
All 5 models picked Belgium. The result: a 1–1 draw.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Belgium win | Draw | Egypt win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Belgium | 46% | 28% | 26% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Belgium | 47% | 28% | 25% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Belgium | 58% | 26% | 16% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Belgium | 55% | 25% | 20% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Belgium | 48% | 32% | 20% | ✗ no |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Belgium win | Draw | Egypt win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Belgium | 50% | 28% | 22% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Belgium | 47% | 29% | 24% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Belgium | 58% | 26% | 16% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Belgium | 55% | 28% | 17% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Belgium | 50% | 30% | 20% | ✗ no |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Belgium are ranked 9th with strong recent form (unbeaten run including a 5-2 win over USA) and superior squad depth, but Egypt are in excellent form with Salah and a defensively solid side that drew Spain and beat Saudi Arabia heavily, keeping this competitive.
GPT: Belgium have the higher FIFA ranking, an unbeaten last-10 form line, and attacking depth including De Bruyne, Lukaku and Doku, so they rate as slight favourites. Egypt’s strong qualifying record, recent wins, and Salah-led attack make this a competitive opener with a meaningful draw/upset chance.
Gemini: Belgium enters as the favorite with a superior FIFA ranking (9th vs 29th) and a deep squad featuring elite talents like Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku. However, Egypt's strong recent form, solid defensive record, and the attacking threat of Mohamed Salah make them capable of keeping the match competitive.
Grok: Belgium's superior FIFA ranking (9th vs 29th) and home status outweigh Egypt's solid qualifying record and Salah, with both sides showing comparable recent form lines.
DeepSeek: Belgium's higher ranking and unbeaten recent form, combined with Egypt's reliance on Mohamed Salah, give Belgium a slight edge, but Egypt's strong defensive displays suggest a draw is possible.