World Cup 2026 · Group H · 15 June 2026
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands: the AI predictions
Final score: Spain 0–0 Cape Verde Islands.
All 5 models picked Spain. The result: a 0–0 draw.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Spain win | Draw | Cape Verde Islands win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Spain | 86% | 11% | 3% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Spain | 78% | 16% | 6% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Spain | 88% | 9% | 3% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Spain | 87% | 11% | 2% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Spain | 85% | 10% | 5% | ✗ no |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Spain win | Draw | Cape Verde Islands win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Spain | 86% | 10% | 4% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Spain | 77% | 16% | 7% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Spain | 88% | 9% | 3% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Spain | 88% | 10% | 2% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Spain | 75% | 20% | 5% | ✗ no |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Spain are 2nd in the FIFA ranking with elite attacking form and a deep squad, far outclassing 69th-ranked Cape Verde. Cape Verde are organized and difficult to beat (only one loss in their last ten), so a draw carries modest probability while an outright win is unlikely.
GPT: Spain have a major quality edge as FIFA's 2nd-ranked side, with strong recent results and multiple in-form attacking options listed. Cape Verde's recent run is respectable and includes solid draws, but their lower ranking and limited verified squad-form evidence make an upset relatively unlikely.
Gemini: Spain enters as the overwhelming favorite, boasting a world-class squad and a number 2 FIFA ranking compared to Cape Verde's 69th. With elite attackers like Lamine Yamal in excellent form, Spain's superior quality across the pitch should comfortably secure a victory.
Grok: Spain's FIFA rank of 2nd, strong recent results including multiple high-scoring wins, and superior squad depth make them overwhelming favorites at home against 69th-ranked Cape Verde, whose form shows inconsistency against stronger sides.
DeepSeek: Spain's world-class squad and top ranking, combined with Cape Verde's significantly lower rank and mixed form, make a home win highly probable.