World Cup 2026 · Group G · 21 June 2026
Belgium vs Iran: the AI predictions
Final score: Belgium 0–0 Iran.
All 5 models picked Belgium. The result: a 0–0 draw.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Belgium win | Draw | Iran win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Belgium | 62% | 24% | 14% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Belgium | 56% | 25% | 19% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Belgium | 72% | 19% | 9% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Belgium | 78% | 16% | 6% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Belgium | 62% | 24% | 14% | ✗ no |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Belgium win | Draw | Iran win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Belgium | 62% | 26% | 12% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Belgium | 55% | 26% | 19% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Belgium | 62% | 24% | 14% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Belgium | 72% | 20% | 8% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Belgium | 55% | 25% | 20% | ✗ no |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Belgium are higher-ranked (9th vs 21st), show strong recent scoring form including wins over USA and big margins, and possess a deeper, more proven squad. Iran are organized defensively but have been inconsistent against quality opposition, making a Belgium win the most likely outcome.
GPT: Belgium have the stronger FIFA ranking, an unbeaten last-10 record in the brief, and a deeper squad with high-level attacking and midfield options. Iran are competitive at 21st and had strong AFC qualifying numbers, but their recent results look more mixed, so Belgium are favored without being overwhelming.
Gemini: Belgium boasts a superior FIFA ranking (9th) and an unbeaten recent form featuring high-scoring victories and a star-studded squad. While Iran is a respectable 21st, their mixed recent results against stronger opposition suggest they will struggle to contain Belgium's attack.
Grok: Belgium rank 9th with superior recent form (DWWWDWDWWD) and a star-laden squad including De Bruyne and Lukaku, while Iran rank 21st with weaker mixed results (DLL?WDDLWW) and lesser depth.
DeepSeek: Belgium’s higher FIFA ranking (9th vs 21st), deeper squad, and unbeaten recent form (6W4D in last 10) give them a clear edge, but Iran’s organized defense and Belgium’s occasional draws against lesser teams suggest a meaningful chance of a draw.