World Cup 2026 · Group C · 13 June 2026
Brazil vs Morocco: the AI predictions
Final score: Brazil 1–1 Morocco.
4 of 5 models picked Brazil; the exceptions: DeepSeek (Morocco). The result: a 1–1 draw.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Brazil win | Draw | Morocco win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Brazil | 42% | 28% | 30% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Brazil | 42% | 29% | 29% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Brazil | 45% | 30% | 25% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Brazil | 43% | 32% | 25% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Morocco | 33% | 30% | 37% | ✗ no |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Brazil win | Draw | Morocco win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Brazil | 45% | 28% | 27% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Brazil | 38% | 31% | 31% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Brazil | 46% | 31% | 23% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Brazil | 47% | 29% | 24% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Brazil | 50% | 28% | 22% | ✗ no |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Brazil's individual quality and home billing give them an edge, but Morocco's strong unbeaten run (no losses in last 10) and 8th FIFA ranking make this a close, balanced contest. Brazil's inconsistent recent form (multiple losses) keeps the margin narrow.
GPT: Brazil have a small edge from the brief: slightly higher FIFA ranking, elite attacking options, and a recent win over Croatia, but their last-10 form is mixed. Morocco are very close in ranking and unbeaten in the listed last 10, so the draw and away-win probabilities remain substantial.
Gemini: Brazil boasts elite attacking talent like Vinícius Júnior and Raphinha, but their recent form has been inconsistent with three losses in their last ten matches. Morocco enters the tournament unbeaten in their last ten games and sits just two spots behind Brazil in the FIFA rankings, making a tight contest highly plausible, though Brazil remains slight favorites.
Grok: Brazil holds a slight edge from home status and marginally higher FIFA ranking (6th vs 8th), yet Morocco's stronger last-10 form (WDWWWDWDWW, no losses) and comparable squad depth narrow the gap.
DeepSeek: Morocco’s unbeaten last 10 matches with wins over Cameroon, Nigeria, and Senegal contrasts with Brazil’s inconsistent form, including recent losses to Bolivia, Japan, and France, suggesting a slight edge for Morocco.