World Cup 2026 · Group C · 14 June 2026
Haiti vs Scotland: the AI predictions
Final score: Haiti 0–1 Scotland.
All 5 models picked Scotland. The result: Haiti 0–1 Scotland — a Scotland win.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Haiti win | Draw | Scotland win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Scotland | 20% | 27% | 53% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Scotland | 27% | 29% | 44% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | Scotland | 20% | 28% | 52% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | Scotland | 25% | 30% | 45% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Scotland | 20% | 25% | 55% | ✓ yes |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Haiti win | Draw | Scotland win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Scotland | 20% | 27% | 53% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Scotland | 24% | 29% | 47% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | Scotland | 18% | 27% | 55% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | Scotland | 22% | 28% | 50% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Scotland | 25% | 25% | 50% | ✓ yes |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Scotland are ranked considerably higher (43rd vs 83rd), topped a strong UEFA qualifying group, and possess a standout in-form player in McTominay (10 goals at Napoli). Haiti's recent friendlies (loss to Tunisia, draw with Iceland) suggest vulnerability, though their qualification run shows they can be competitive.
GPT: Scotland have the stronger ranking profile and a more convincing qualifying record, topping their UEFA group with 13 points from 6 while carrying proven midfield quality such as McTominay. Haiti’s qualification run and recent competitiveness make this far from one-sided, especially with Scotland coming off a mixed recent run, so the draw and Haiti win remain meaningful risks.
Gemini: Scotland are ranked 40 places higher than Haiti and topped their UEFA qualifying group, indicating a higher baseline of quality. Although Haiti showed resilience to qualify for their first World Cup in 52 years, Scotland's superior squad depth and European pedigree make them the favorites.
Grok: Scotland (rank 43) outranks Haiti (83) and shows stronger recent results against competitive sides like Denmark and Greece, plus a proven key attacker in McTominay. Haiti’s home status offers limited offset given the overall squad and form gap evident in the brief.
DeepSeek: Scotland's higher FIFA ranking (43 vs 83) and stronger squad suggest they are favorites; Haiti's recent form includes a heavy loss to Honduras and lacks standout victories against top-50 opponents.