AIAI vs the World Cup

World Cup 2026 · Group E · 25 June 2026

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast: the AI predictions

Final score: Curaçao 0–2 Ivory Coast.

All 5 models picked Ivory Coast. The result: Curaçao 0–2 Ivory Coast — a Ivory Coast win.

Committed pre-tournament forecasts

Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).

ModelPickCuraçao winDrawIvory Coast winCalled it?
Claude (Anthropic)Ivory Coast12%20%68%✓ yes
GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT)Ivory Coast14%23%63%✓ yes
Gemini (Google)Ivory Coast9%19%72%✓ yes
Grok (xAI)Ivory Coast12%22%66%✓ yes
DeepSeek (DeepSeek)Ivory Coast12%23%65%✓ yes

Live pre-kickoff forecasts

Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.

ModelPickCuraçao winDrawIvory Coast winCalled it?
Claude (Anthropic)Ivory Coast12%20%68%✓ yes
GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT)Ivory Coast12%23%65%✓ yes
Gemini (Google)Ivory Coast8%18%74%✓ yes
Grok (xAI)Ivory Coast18%27%55%✓ yes
DeepSeek (DeepSeek)Ivory Coast12%23%65%✓ yes

What the models were thinking

Claude: Ivory Coast are far higher ranked (34th vs 82nd), with a flawless qualifying record and strong recent form including away wins over South Korea and Scotland, while Curaçao have lost heavily to Australia and China recently. The talent and depth gap, with Ivory Coast's European-based attackers, makes them clear favorites.

GPT: Ivory Coast have the stronger profile, ranked 34th versus Curaçao's 82nd, with excellent qualifying form including 8 wins, 2 draws and no goals conceded. Curaçao have shown competitiveness in qualification but their recent losses to China and Australia suggest vulnerability against higher-level opposition.

Gemini: Ivory Coast boasts a significantly higher FIFA ranking (34th vs 82nd) and a squad featuring established European top-flight talent, reflected in their dominant qualifying campaign where they conceded zero goals. Curaçao has struggled against stronger international opposition recently, making an Ivory Coast victory highly probable.

Grok: Ivory Coast (34th, undefeated in qualifying with 25-0 GD) outclasses Curaçao (82nd) whose recent results show multiple heavy defeats to stronger sides. Curaçao’s home advantage is insufficient to offset the large gap in ranking and form.

DeepSeek: Ivory Coast has a much higher FIFA ranking (34 vs 82), superior recent form (7W-1D-2L), and a squad with top European talent, making them strong favorites despite Curaçao's home designation.

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