World Cup 2026 · Group G · 27 June 2026
Egypt vs Iran: the AI predictions
Final score: Egypt 1–1 Iran.
All 5 models picked Egypt. The result: a 1–1 draw.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Egypt win | Draw | Iran win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Egypt | 42% | 30% | 28% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Egypt | 37% | 32% | 31% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Egypt | 48% | 30% | 22% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Egypt | 47% | 30% | 23% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Egypt | 40% | 30% | 30% | ✗ no |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Egypt win | Draw | Iran win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Egypt | 36% | 33% | 31% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Egypt | 38% | 32% | 30% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Egypt | 44% | 31% | 25% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Egypt | 47% | 33% | 20% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Egypt | 50% | 30% | 20% | ✗ no |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Egypt have stronger recent form, a higher-quality attack led by Salah, and impressive results including a 4-0 over Saudi Arabia and a draw with Spain, giving them an edge over a solid but inconsistent Iran side. Iran's defensive resilience and quality in Taremi keep this fairly close, supporting elevated draw and away-win probabilities.
GPT: Egypt have the stronger recent results in the brief, including unbeaten CAF qualifying, a draw with Spain, and a recent win over Russia, while Iran’s last-10 line is more mixed despite a higher FIFA ranking. With both teams defensively capable and fairly close in level, the draw and Iran win remain substantial possibilities.
Gemini: Egypt enters with excellent form, highlighted by an unbeaten World Cup qualifying run, a draw against Spain, and an in-form Mohamed Salah. Although Iran is ranked slightly higher, their recent mixed results—including losses to Qatar, Nigeria, and Russia—give Egypt the edge in this matchup.
Grok: Egypt's stronger recent form (WWDWWLDWDW) and home advantage with Salah outweigh Iran's higher ranking and mixed results (DLL?WDDLWW).
DeepSeek: Egypt's undefeated qualifying run and strong recent results, including a win over Russia and draw with Spain, give them a slight edge. Iran's potential loss to Qatar and recent defeats to Uzbekistan and Nigeria raise concerns.