World Cup 2026 · Group G · 22 June 2026
New Zealand vs Egypt: the AI predictions
Final score: New Zealand 1–3 Egypt.
All 5 models picked Egypt. The result: New Zealand 1–3 Egypt — a Egypt win.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | New Zealand win | Draw | Egypt win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Egypt | 13% | 22% | 65% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Egypt | 19% | 27% | 54% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | Egypt | 12% | 23% | 65% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | Egypt | 12% | 23% | 65% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Egypt | 15% | 23% | 62% | ✓ yes |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | New Zealand win | Draw | Egypt win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Egypt | 13% | 25% | 62% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Egypt | 22% | 29% | 49% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | Egypt | 14% | 24% | 62% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | Egypt | 18% | 32% | 50% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Egypt | 15% | 25% | 60% | ✓ yes |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Egypt are far higher ranked (29th vs 82nd), in strong form with quality players like Salah and Marmoush, and have held Spain and beaten Saudi Arabia recently. New Zealand have a poor recent record with several losses, making an Egyptian win the most likely outcome.
GPT: Egypt have the stronger profile in the brief, ranking 29th versus New Zealand's 82nd, with an unbeaten CAF qualifying record and a much better last-10 form line. New Zealand have shown they can compete in individual results, but their recent run includes seven losses in ten, making Egypt the likelier winner.
Gemini: Egypt enters the match with a significantly higher FIFA ranking (29th vs 82nd) and a much stronger recent form record compared to New Zealand's struggles (seven losses in their last ten matches). With elite attacking talent like Mohamed Salah available, Egypt is well-positioned to secure a victory.
Grok: Egypt's much higher FIFA ranking (29 vs 82) and superior recent form (WWDWWLDWDW including multiple wins) indicate they are stronger than New Zealand despite the away fixture.
DeepSeek: Egypt are ranked much higher and in strong form, while New Zealand have struggled recently; home advantage unlikely to overcome the quality gap.