World Cup 2026 · Quarter-finals · 11 July 2026
Norway vs England: the AI predictions
Final score: Norway 1–2 England. England advanced.
4 of 5 models picked England; the exceptions: DeepSeek (Norway). The result: Norway 1–2 England, with England advancing.
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Norway win | England win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | England | 45% | 55% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | England | 43% | 57% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | England | 32% | 68% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | England | 28% | 72% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Norway | 58% | 42% | ✗ no |
What the models were thinking
Claude: England's higher FIFA ranking and deeper squad give them an edge, but Norway have shown knockout resilience with wins over Brazil and Ivory Coast and possess elite attackers in Haaland and Sørloth. Both sides have looked vulnerable in the tournament, making this a genuinely close tie likely decided in fine margins.
GPT: England have the stronger baseline profile with a much higher FIFA ranking, deeper squad options, and an unbeaten tournament run including wins over Croatia, Congo DR and Mexico. Norway’s attack and momentum are dangerous after beating Ivory Coast and Brazil, so this is relatively close, but England remain slight favorites to advance.
Gemini: England boasts a significantly higher FIFA ranking (4th vs 31st) and superior squad depth across all positions. While Norway has impressed by eliminating Brazil in the previous round, England's unbeaten tournament run and overall quality make them the clear favorites to advance.
Grok: England's 4th FIFA ranking and deeper squad far outrank Norway's 32nd place despite Norway's strong qualifying results and Haaland's form; both sides reached the quarters but England's pedigree favors them in a knockout setting.
DeepSeek: Norway's impressive wins over France and Brazil in the knockout stages, combined with the in-form Erling Haaland, give them a slight edge over an England side that has yet to face a top-tier opponent in this tournament.