World Cup 2026 · Group L · 27 June 2026
Panama vs England: the AI predictions
Final score: Panama 0–2 England.
All 5 models picked England. The result: Panama 0–2 England — a England win.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Panama win | Draw | England win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | England | 13% | 22% | 65% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | England | 10% | 22% | 68% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | England | 7% | 18% | 75% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | England | 8% | 15% | 77% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | England | 8% | 17% | 75% | ✓ yes |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Panama win | Draw | England win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | England | 12% | 22% | 66% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | England | 10% | 23% | 67% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | England | 5% | 15% | 80% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | England | 5% | 15% | 80% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | England | 10% | 25% | 65% | ✓ yes |
What the models were thinking
Claude: England are ranked 4th in the world with a deeper, higher-pedigree squad and strong recent qualifying form, making them clear favorites. However, Panama are an experienced, well-organized side coming off an unbeaten Concacaf final round, giving them a realistic chance of a draw or upset.
GPT: England have the much stronger profile in the brief, including a 4th-place FIFA ranking, a deep squad, and a recent run with several convincing wins. Panama's unbeaten qualification campaign and solid recent results make a draw plausible, but England's overall quality makes them clear favorites.
Gemini: England boasts a star-studded squad and a top-4 FIFA ranking, giving them a massive talent advantage over Panama. Although Panama had an unbeaten qualifying campaign, the sheer quality of England's key players makes an away victory highly probable.
Grok: England's 4th FIFA ranking, stronger recent results against higher-level opponents, and superior squad depth outweigh Panama's unbeaten qualification path and recent draws.
DeepSeek: England, ranked 4th, have far greater individual quality and depth, while Panama have struggled to win against modest opposition in recent friendlies, suggesting a clear England victory.