World Cup 2026 · Group L · 27 June 2026
Croatia vs Ghana: the AI predictions
Final score: Croatia 2–1 Ghana.
All 5 models picked Croatia. The result: Croatia 2–1 Ghana — a Croatia win.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Croatia win | Draw | Ghana win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Croatia | 62% | 22% | 16% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Croatia | 64% | 22% | 14% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | Croatia | 72% | 20% | 8% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | Croatia | 78% | 15% | 7% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Croatia | 75% | 17% | 8% | ✓ yes |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Croatia win | Draw | Ghana win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Croatia | 62% | 23% | 15% | ✓ yes |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Croatia | 48% | 29% | 23% | ✓ yes |
| Gemini (Google) | Croatia | 62% | 24% | 14% | ✓ yes |
| Grok (xAI) | Croatia | 67% | 23% | 10% | ✓ yes |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Croatia | 60% | 25% | 15% | ✓ yes |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Croatia are far higher ranked (11th vs 74th), unbeaten in qualifying with a deep, experienced squad, while Ghana have lost their last five matches in poor form against quality opposition.
GPT: Croatia have the stronger baseline, ranked 11th, unbeaten through qualifying, and with a 9-match run of wins/draws before losing to Brazil. Ghana topped their CAF qualifying group but enter with five straight losses against stronger opposition, making an upset possible but less likely.
Gemini: Croatia enters the tournament in excellent form, having gone unbeaten in their qualifying campaign and boasting a squad full of top-tier European talent. Ghana, despite topping their CAF group, have struggled significantly in recent matches against higher-ranked opposition, suffering five consecutive defeats.
Grok: Croatia (rank 11, unbeaten qualifiers, form WWWWDWWWWL) host Ghana (rank 74, form WDWWWLLLLL with recent losses to Germany/Austria/Japan). Croatia's squad depth and home advantage support a strong favorite status.
DeepSeek: Croatia is ranked 11th and has won 9 of their last 10 matches, including tough opponents, while Ghana (ranked 74th) has lost 5 consecutive matches against higher-ranked teams. The gap in quality and form strongly favors a Croatian victory.