World Cup 2026 · Group D · 26 June 2026
Paraguay vs Australia: the AI predictions
Final score: Paraguay 0–0 Australia.
3 of 5 models picked Paraguay; the exceptions: GPT (Australia), DeepSeek (Australia). The result: a 0–0 draw.
Committed pre-tournament forecasts
Locked and hashed before the tournament started; these lines cannot have been edited after the fact (how the commitment works).
| Model | Pick | Paraguay win | Draw | Australia win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Paraguay | 37% | 28% | 35% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Australia | 32% | 29% | 39% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Paraguay | 38% | 32% | 30% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Paraguay | 38% | 34% | 28% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Australia | 33% | 30% | 37% | ✗ no |
Live pre-kickoff forecasts
Fresh forecasts made by the same five models shortly before kick-off, with knowledge of the tournament so far. Scored separately from the committed picks.
| Model | Pick | Paraguay win | Draw | Australia win | Called it? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude (Anthropic) | Paraguay | 36% | 29% | 35% | ✗ no |
| GPT (OpenAI’s ChatGPT) | Australia | 28% | 31% | 41% | ✗ no |
| Gemini (Google) | Australia | 30% | 32% | 38% | ✗ no |
| Grok (xAI) | Australia | 34% | 31% | 35% | ✗ no |
| DeepSeek (DeepSeek) | Australia | 25% | 30% | 45% | ✗ no |
What the models were thinking
Claude: Paraguay's home advantage and competitive results against strong sides like Uruguay and Mexico give them a slight edge, but Australia's strong recent form (winning four of their last five) and higher FIFA ranking keep this close to a toss-up.
GPT: Australia have the stronger FIFA ranking and a better recent run, including qualification-securing wins over Japan and Saudi Arabia plus March wins over Cameroon and Curaçao. Paraguay are competitive and have notable results against Uruguay, Japan and Mexico, so the edge is narrow rather than decisive.
Gemini: Although Australia holds a higher FIFA ranking and boasts seven wins in their last ten matches, their recent defeats to South American sides Venezuela and Colombia suggest potential struggles against CONMEBOL opposition. Paraguay's impressive 2-0 victory over Uruguay highlights their competitive ceiling, making them slight favorites in a tightly contested matchup.
Grok: Australia hold the higher ranking (27 vs 40) and stronger form_last10, yet Paraguay play at home with a competitive recent record including wins over Uruguay and Peru.
DeepSeek: Australia's higher FIFA ranking and stronger recent form (7 wins in last 10) give them a narrow advantage, but Paraguay's wins over Uruguay and Mexico indicate they are capable of making this a tight contest.